TOIComp Effects, Part 1

When I ran the numbers for TOIComp, I was a little disappointed—but not surprised—that the spread between top and bottom competition (for valuable regulars) was so small. After all, we observe the same thing for Corsi Rel QoC, and differences at the season level in that metric don't appear to appreciably alter players' results. I felt that a similar study on TOIComp would be more work for the same result, but I'll do it anyway (after prompting from @garik16 and @pcunneen19).

Hopefully, there's something interesting in the data this time.

2013 TOIComp leaders

Here are the top 30 skaters by TOIComp. I only included the 609 skaters who played at least 36,000 man-minutes versus forwards—at three forwards per second, this is about 200 5v5 minutes. You can find the complete lists here, and I posted a preliminary version of the code here.
Top 30 vs F:

Rank	Player	F TOIComp
1	Phaneuf	16.58
2	Chara	16.47
	Girardi	16.47
4	Z. Michalek	16.41
5	Ladd	16.40
6	Marleau	16.39
7	Zetterberg	16.38
8	B. Gionta	16.37
9	Little	16.36
10	Kulemin	16.35
	Plekanec	16.35
12	Wheeler	16.33
	Brouwer	16.33
14	Kopecky	16.30
15	Ekman-Larsson	16.29
	Dupuis	16.29
	Fleischmann	16.29
18	Goc	16.28
19	Bogosian	16.27
	Bouwmeester	16.27
21	Pominville	16.26
22	Stepan	16.25
	Orpik	16.25
24	Carlson	16.24
	Giroux	16.24
26	Backstrom	16.23
	Weiss	16.23
28	McDonagh	16.22
29	Datsyuk	16.21
	Couture	16.21

The entire spread here is about 20 seconds—not exactly a lot. I'm a little more impressed by the offensive options here, since those guys will get ice time against the low-TOI defensive players when their team is down by a goal, meaning that in their tough minutes, they played an elevated TOIComp.

If you're surprised to see Backstrom here, given my post the other day, note that he still ranks behind Brouwer and Carlson, and he would have ranked behind Brooks Laich, but Laich didn't make the TOI cutoff.

And vs D:

Rank	Player	D TOIComp
1	Giroux	21.10
2	Pominville	21.08
3	St. Louis	21.04
	Stamkos	21.04
5	Vanek	21.01
6	Hodgson	20.99
7	Crosby	20.94
8	H. Sedin	20.90
	D. Sedin	20.90
	Voracek	20.90
11	Bozak	20.89
12	Ovechkin	20.88
	Moulson	20.88
14	Kessel	20.85
	Malkin	20.85
16	Tavares	20.84
17	E. Staal	20.83
	Van Riemsdyk	20.83
19	Hartnell	20.82
	Benn	20.82
	Perry	20.82
22	Kunitz	20.80
23	Boyes	20.79
24	Duchene	20.77
25	Conacher	20.76
	Semin	20.76
	Toews	20.76
	Burrows	20.76
29	Timonen	20.75
	Tlusty	20.75
	Saad	20.75
	Hossa	20.75

Lots of linemates here—no surprises. The spread is again only about 20 seconds from 1 to 30. A little interesting to see both Crosby and Malkin (I'm guessing that's a result of Malkin taking top opposition with Crosby out).

Caps TOIComp 07-10

In case you missed it, yesterday I broke down TOIComp for the three recent Caps coaches (Boudreau, Hunter, and Oates) to see how they deployed their players. To follow up, I want to look at Glen Hanlon's team in 07-08, followed by Boudreau's habits during the Ovechkin-led Caps' peak.

Caps TOIComp

It took awhile, but I finally got this done. (I'm still tweaking the code, so it'll be a few days before I publish it here.)

A few notes:

a) I calculated TOI/60 by dividing individual 5v5 TOI by team 5v5 TOI (only counting games in which the player played). This differs from Behind the Net's TOI/60, which is 5v5 (and 6v5) TOI per game.
b) The bubble size is total 5v5 TOI this season (well, almost—it's actually the amount of man-seconds played against forwards. Let's just say that this only differs from time on ice when a team does not put three forwards on the ice).
c) Small sample caveats apply to the smaller bubbles, and remember context and line changes and such will play a role.

Red is forwards, blue are D. Hover over a bubble for additional information.